Predicted probability of experiencing relapse within the next two years
Applies to patients with Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis
Age (years)
18
60
0
0
30
18
23
28
33
38
43
48
53
58
60
Select Gender:
Male
Female
Select Ethnicity:
White
Other
I had a MS treatment before
Yes
No
Baseline EDSS
0
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Years since onset of symptoms
0
45
0
0
1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Number of relapses the last 1 year
0
20
0
0
1
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Months since last relapse
Baseline Timed 25-Foot Walk
Baseline PASAT 3
0
80
0
0
1
0
8
16
24
32
40
48
56
64
72
80
Baseline VFT 2.5%
0
60
0
0
1
0
6
12
18
24
30
36
42
48
54
60
Baseline 9 Hole Peg Test
Baseline SF-36 PCS
Baseline SF-36 MCS
Plot of predicted probabilities to relapse within the next two years
A two-stage prediction model for heterogeneous effects of treatments. Stat Med. 2021
Predicted probabilities to relapse within the next two years
Ranking of predicted probabilities to relapse within the next two years
1. The lowest probability to relapse is under treatment:
2. Second best choice based on the probability to relapse:
3. The treatment that follows is:
4. The treatment with the highest probability to relapse is: